FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

We’ve got about half the expected vote in now from Montana’s 1st District, and Zinke and Olszewski are basically tied — Zinke leads by 3 votes. The eventual victor will be favored to win in November.

Latest count in Montana’s 1st District GOP primary

Results of the Republican primary for Montana’s 1st Congressional District, as of 12:02 a.m. Eastern

Candidate Votes Vote %
Ryan Zinke 18,152 40.1%
Al Olszewski 18,149 40.1
Mary Todd 4,766 10.5
Matt Jette 2,983 6.6
Mitch Heuer 1,162 2.6

50% of the expected vote has been reported.

Source: ABC News

Geoffrey Skelley

In New Jersey, results from the AP show former Wall Street banker Frank Pallotta leading by about 5 points now over Marine veteran Nick De Gregorio in the race to take on Democratic Rep. Josh Gottheimer. De Gregorio came in as the favorite here, but Pallotta did have Trump’s backing in 2020 when he lost to Gottheimer. Democrats wanted Pallotta again instead of De Gregorio, even sending mailings out to GOP voters ostensibly attacking Pallotta for being too Trumpy, a not-so-subtle attempt to get them to vote for Pallotta.

Alex Samuels

In another not-so-shocking update, the AP is reporting that Democratic Rep. John Garamendi will advance to the general election in California’s 8th District. His opponent is yet to be declared, but it’ll likely be Republican Rudy Recile.


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