FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

With 18 percent of the expected vote reporting in California’s 22nd District, Democrat Rudy Salas is in first place with 43 percent, while incumbent Republican Rep. David Valadao is in second place with only 27 percent. It’s early, but that’s a pretty bad number for Valadao, who was one of only 10 House Republicans to vote for Trump’s impeachment. Two other Republicans are combining for 30 percent, but as of right now, they’re splitting the anti-incumbent vote, throwing Valadao a lifeline.

Latest count in the top-two primary for California’s 22nd District

Results of the top-two primary for California’s 22nd Congressional District, as of 11:46 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Party Votes Vote %
Rudy Salas D 3,660 43.2%
David Valadao* R 2,283 26.9
Chris Mathys R 1,654 19.5
Adam Medeiros R 880 10.4

In a top-two primary, all candidates run together and the leading two vote-getters advance to the general election, regardless of party.

*Incumbent

18% of the expected vote has been reported.

Source: ABC News

Maya Sweedler

We have some early returns in the Los Angeles mayoral race. With 13 percent of the expected vote in, Rick Caruso leads Karen Bass, 41 percent to 38 percent. Unlike the statewide races, in which the top-two candidates advance to general election regardless of the primary margin, the L.A. mayoral race can be decided tonight with a simple majority. However, the final polls of the race suggest that Caruso and Bass are both hovering in the high 30s to low 40s, making it likely that we’ll have a runoff come November.

Geoffrey Skelley

We’ve got nearly 70 percent of the expected vote in from California’s 41st District, and it looks likely that former federal prosecutor Will Rollins will be the Democrat to advance to the general election with Republican Rep. Ken Calvert. Calvert leads with 40 percent, followed by Rollins with 39 percent, putting him well ahead of engineer Shrina Kurani, the other Democrat in the race, who has 16 percent.


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