FiveThirtyEight
Jacob Rubashkin

In California’s 3rd, we’re up to about two-thirds of the vote counted, but the bigger picture hasn’t changed much. Democrat Kermit Jones is still in the lead with 43 percent, state Assemblyman Kevin Kiley, a Republican, is next with 33 percent. And Sacramento County Sheriff Scott Jones, also a Republican, is in third with 17 percent.
Latest count in the top-two primary for California’s 3rd District

Results of the top-two primary for California’s 3rd Congressional District, as of 11:36 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Party Votes Vote %
Kermit Jones D 31,913 43.0%
Kevin Kiley R 24,278 32.7
Scott Jones R 12,314 16.6
David Peterson D 5,699 7.7

In a top-two primary, all candidates run together and the leading two vote-getters advance to the general election, regardless of party.

67% of the expected vote has been reported.

Source: ABC News

Geoffrey Skelley

Checking in on Mississippi, where the surprise of the night looks to be in the 3rd District GOP primary. There, Republican Rep. Michael Guest narrowly trails former Navy pilot Michael Cassidy by about 1 point, 48 percent to 47 percent, with 82 percent reporting, according to the AP. If this result were to hold, the two would meet in a June 28 runoff since Mississippi has a majority requirement for candidates to win primaries. To the south in the Gulf Coast-based 4th District, a runoff is assured for embattled Republican Rep. Steve Palazzo, who has only 32 percent. He is in deep trouble there, and with more than 95 percent reporting, he’ll probably face Jackson County Sheriff Mike Ezell, who has 25 percent.

Alex Samuels

One more update from the AP — it’s reporting that Padilla will also advance to the general election for the Senate seat’s next full term this fall (no big surprise there). His opponent has not yet been declared, but Meuser is running second in this race, too.


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