FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Checking in on Mississippi, where the surprise of the night looks to be in the 3rd District GOP primary. There, Republican Rep. Michael Guest narrowly trails former Navy pilot Michael Cassidy by about 1 point, 48 percent to 47 percent, with 82 percent reporting, according to the AP. If this result were to hold, the two would meet in a June 28 runoff since Mississippi has a majority requirement for candidates to win primaries. To the south in the Gulf Coast-based 4th District, a runoff is assured for embattled Republican Rep. Steve Palazzo, who has only 32 percent. He is in deep trouble there, and with more than 95 percent reporting, he’ll probably face Jackson County Sheriff Mike Ezell, who has 25 percent.

Alex Samuels

One more update from the AP — it’s reporting that Padilla will also advance to the general election for the Senate seat’s next full term this fall (no big surprise there). His opponent has not yet been declared, but Meuser is running second in this race, too.

Galen Druke

The AP is also reporting that Newsom will advance to the general election this fall. His opponent is yet to be declared, but it’s likely to be state Sen. Brian Dahle.


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