FiveThirtyEight
Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

If Kavanaugh withdraws, who’s in line to take his place?

Earlier this week, Ollie gave us a nice little recap of the judges who were widely thought to be in contention for the Supreme Court seat along with Kavanaugh. Two — Thomas Hardiman and Raymond Kethledge — are men, though, and after this testimony, it could feel like a big misstep to nominate another man. Meanwhile, 7th Circuit judge Amy Coney Barrett’s past comments on abortion and Supreme Court precedent could put her in hot water with Senate Democrats as well as pro-choice senators Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski. That doesn’t mean Trump wouldn’t nominate her, since she’s popular among his conservative Christian base. But it might be worth keeping other women from Trump’s longer list of potential nominees — like 6th Circuit judge Joan Larsen — on our radar, if things really go south for Kavanaugh today.


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