FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

Micah, I don’t know. I think it’s always easy to forget how quickly the news cycle moves on to other things. But this is happening close enough to the midterms that even short-term effects could linger. Again, because I think there’s more downside than upside for the GOP, that’s another reason why, were a Republican, I’d have wanted to have Kavanaugh withdraw earlier. If he’d pulled out two weeks ago, you nominate Barrett or something instead, I’m not sure Kavanaugh would be that fresh in voters’ minds by November.

Micah Cohen

Nate, at the risk of being too politically focused, what’s the right frame for these hearings in terms of the midterms? Like, could they be a “game-changer”? Could they subtly shift the environment on the margins?

Micah Cohen

Hearing is going again now.


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