To echo Nate, as a native Kansan, I have to wonder if Kobach's inability to pull off an easy win tonight might be some mainstream Republican fallout from the voter ID trial this spring. He did not, shall we say, come off like a very competent public servant in that case. Then there's the recent news that he's been pocketing cash (while simultaneously serving as Kansas AG) off voter ID consulting in other parts of the country. And, you know, there's the white nationalists on his payroll. My own Subjective Analysis™ suggests his bravado plays really well with some conservative Kansans -- and that the sloppiness and whiff of "well, that's different" hovering around him would play really badly with another kind of Kansas conservative.