FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Arizona’s GOP Senate primary remains pretty close, as Masters leads Lamon by about 4 points with 57 percent of the expected vote reporting. Brnovich is hanging out at 20 percent, so it looks like it’s a Masters-Lamon race. Interestingly, Lamon is doing a bit better in the counties that sit along the U.S.-Mexico border, but Maricopa County (Phoenix) is the mother lode of votes in Arizona (roughly 60 percent of the GOP primary vote), and Masters is up about 6 points there.

Kaleigh Rogers

Among races that have been called so far tonight, 17 Republican candidates who outright deny the legitimacy of the 2020 election have won, while three other candidates who questioned the results have clinched their nominations. In Blake Masters (Senate in Arizona), Mark Finchem (secretary of state in Arizona) and Eli Crane (Arizona’s 2nd District, we have three more candidates leading their races who have embraced Trump’s claims of a stolen election.

How election deniers are doing tonight

Senate, House, gubernatorial, attorney general and secretary of state candidates who have either denied or questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election, and their results in Republican primaries in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Missouri and Washington, as of 12:09 a.m. Eastern

CANDIDATE OFFICE Position on 2020 election % REPORTING VOTE SHARE STATUS
Blake Masters AZ Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 57% 34.4% Leading
Jim Lamon AZ Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 57 30.5 Trailing
Mark Brnovich AZ Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 57 20.2 Trailing
Kari Lake AZ Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 60 40.6 Trailing
Matt Salmon AZ Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 60 4.4 Trailing
Scott Neely AZ Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 60 3.5 Trailing
Paola “Z.” Tulliani-Zen AZ Gov. ❓Raised doubts 60 2.4 Trailing
Mark Finchem AZ SoS 🚫 Denied legitimacy 53 35.7 Leading
Shawnna Bolick AZ SoS 🚫 Denied legitimacy 53 20.2 Trailing
Abraham “Abe” Hamadeh AZ AG 🚫 Denied legitimacy 55 28.8 Leading
Rodney Glassman AZ AG 🚫 Denied legitimacy 55 24.3 Trailing
Dawn Grove AZ AG 🚫 Denied legitimacy 55 14.0 Trailing
Tiffany Shedd AZ AG 🚫 Denied legitimacy 55 5.1 Trailing
David Schweikert* AZ-01 🚫 Denied legitimacy 77 43.7 Leading
Elijah Norton AZ-01 ❓Raised doubts 77 33.9 Trailing
Josh Barnett AZ-01 🚫 Denied legitimacy 77 22.4 Trailing
Eli Crane AZ-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 50 33.1 Leading
Walter “Walt” Blackman AZ-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 50 24.3 Trailing
Mark DeLuzio AZ-02 ❓Raised doubts 50 18.2 Trailing
John Moore AZ-02 ❓Raised doubts 50 7.0 Trailing
Ron Watkins AZ-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 50 3.2 Trailing
Jeff Zink AZ-03 🚫 Denied legitimacy 36 100.0 ✓ Won
Kelly Cooper AZ-04 ❓Raised doubts 60 30.3 Leading
Dave Giles AZ-04 🚫 Denied legitimacy 60 19.2 Trailing
Jerone Davison AZ-04 🚫 Denied legitimacy 60 11.2 Trailing
Andy Biggs* AZ-05 🚫 Denied legitimacy 45 100.0 ✓ Won
Juan Ciscomani AZ-06 ❓Raised doubts 51 47.9 Leading
Brandon Martin AZ-06 🚫 Denied legitimacy 51 19.7 Trailing
Kathleen Winn AZ-06 ❓Raised doubts 51 17.5 Trailing
Luis Pozzolo AZ-07 🚫 Denied legitimacy 34 65.4 Leading
Debbie Lesko* AZ-08 🚫 Denied legitimacy 64 100.0 ✓ Won
Paul Gosar* AZ-09 🚫 Denied legitimacy 58 63.3 ✓ Won
Randy Kutz AZ-09 ❓Raised doubts 58 13.8 ✗ Lost
Joan Farr KS Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 99 19.6 ✗ Lost
Derek Schmidt KS Gov. ❓Raised doubts 97 80.3 ✓ Won
Mike Brown KS SoS 🚫 Denied legitimacy 94 44.7 ✗ Lost
Kris Kobach KS AG 🚫 Denied legitimacy 99 41.7 ✓ Won
John A. McCaughrean KS-03 ❓Raised doubts 99 22.6 ✗ Lost
Ron Estes* KS-04 🚫 Denied legitimacy 6 100.0 ✓ Won
Tudor M. Dixon MI Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 68 39.5 ✓ Won
Kevin Rinke MI Gov. ❓Raised doubts 68 21.4 ✗ Lost
Garrett Soldano MI Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 68 18.8 ✗ Lost
Ryan D. Kelley MI Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 68 15.6 ✗ Lost
Ralph Rebandt MI Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 68 4.1 ✗ Lost
Jack Bergman MI-01 🚫 Denied legitimacy 39 100.0 ✓ Won
Thomas J. Norton MI-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 99 33.4 ✗ Lost
John Gibbs MI-03 🚫 Denied legitimacy 90 51.0 Leading
Tim Walberg* MI-05 🚫 Denied legitimacy 72 65.1 ✓ Won
Sherry O’Donnell MI-05 🚫 Denied legitimacy 72 34.7 ✗ Lost
Hima Kolanagireddy MI-06 🚫 Denied legitimacy 51 48.5 Trailing
Tom Barrett MI-07 🚫 Denied legitimacy 16 100.0 ✓ Won
Matthew Seely MI-08 🚫 Denied legitimacy 52 23.6 ✗ Lost
Lisa McClain* MI-09 🚫 Denied legitimacy 45 79.0 ✓ Won
Michelle R.E. Donovan MI-09 🚫 Denied legitimacy 45 20.9 ✗ Lost
John James MI-10 ❓Raised doubts 32 86.9 ✓ Won
Tony Marcinkewciz MI-10 🚫 Denied legitimacy 32 13.0 ✗ Lost
James Hooper MI-12 ❓Raised doubts 18 34.2 Trailing
Eric Schmitt MO Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 75 45.7 ✓ Won
Vicky Hartzler MO Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 75 22.1 ✗ Lost
Eric Greitens MO Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 75 19.0 ✗ Lost
Billy Long MO Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 75 4.9 ✗ Lost
Mark McCloskey MO Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 75 3.0 ✗ Lost
Bernie Mowinski MO Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 75 0.2 ✗ Lost
Hartford Tunnell MO Sen. ❓Raised doubts 75 0.1 ✗ Lost
Wesley Smith MO-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 81 9.0 ✗ Lost
Paul Berry III MO-02 ❓Raised doubts 81 8.5 ✗ Lost
Blaine Luetkemeyer* MO-03 🚫 Denied legitimacy 86 69.7 ✓ Won
Brandon Wilkinson MO-03 ❓Raised doubts 86 16.5 ✗ Lost
Mark Alford MO-04 ❓Raised doubts 95 35.0 ✓ Won
Jacob Turk MO-05 🚫 Denied legitimacy 71 51.8 Leading
Sam Graves* MO-06 🚫 Denied legitimacy 84 75.4 ✓ Won
Dakota Shultz MO-06 🚫 Denied legitimacy 84 6.2 ✗ Lost
John Dady MO-06 🚫 Denied legitimacy 84 2.4 ✗ Lost
Eric Burlison MO-07 🚫 Denied legitimacy 86 37.8 ✓ Won
Jay Wasson MO-07 ❓Raised doubts 86 22.6 ✗ Lost
Mike Moon MO-07 ❓Raised doubts 86 9.0 ✗ Lost
Sam Alexander MO-07 🚫 Denied legitimacy 86 5.6 ✗ Lost
Paul Walker MO-07 ❓Raised doubts 86 3.0 ✗ Lost
Camille Lombardi-Olive MO-07 ❓Raised doubts 86 1.3 ✗ Lost
Jason Smith* MO-08 🚫 Denied legitimacy 80 82.0 ✓ Won
Leon Lawson WA Sen. ❓Raised doubts 52 3.2 Trailing
Tamborine Borrelli WA SoS 🚫 Denied legitimacy 50 3.9 Trailing
Matthew Heines WA-01 🚫 Denied legitimacy 46 8.1 Trailing
Cody Hart WA-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 54 9.0 Trailing
Carrie R. Kennedy WA-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 54 3.7 Trailing
Joe Kent WA-03 🚫 Denied legitimacy 52 20.1 Trailing
Heidi St. John WA-03 🚫 Denied legitimacy 52 15.1 Trailing
Vicki Kraft WA-03 🚫 Denied legitimacy 52 3.2 Trailing
Loren Culp WA-04 🚫 Denied legitimacy 48 21.7 Trailing
Jerrod Sessler WA-04 🚫 Denied legitimacy 48 10.9 Trailing
Brad Klippert WA-04 🚫 Denied legitimacy 48 8.6 Trailing
Corey Gibson WA-04 🚫 Denied legitimacy 48 3.6 Trailing
Benancio “Benny” Garcia III WA-04 ❓Raised doubts 48 1.5 Trailing
Paul Glumaz WA-07 🚫 Denied legitimacy 49 5.4 Trailing
Jesse Jensen WA-08 ❓Raised doubts 53 12.6 Trailing
Scott Stephenson WA-08 🚫 Denied legitimacy 53 3.2 Trailing
Doug Basler WA-09 🚫 Denied legitimacy 45 20.7 Trailing
Keith R. Swank WA-10 🚫 Denied legitimacy 49 33.2 Trailing
Dan Earnest Gordon WA-10 ❓Raised doubts 49 6.5 Trailing
Tracey Mann* KS-01 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0 ✓ Won
Jake LaTurner* KS-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0 ✓ Won

*Incumbent.

Candidates marked as having “denied legitimacy” of the 2020 election either explicitly said Donald Trump’s loss or the 2020 election itself was illegitimate or, if an elected official, took legal measures to try to overturn the election. Candidates marked as “raised doubts” have questioned the fairness of the 2020 election or made references to “election integrity” but have not explicitly said the election or Trump’s loss was illegitimate.

Sources: News reports, campaigns, ABC News

Meredith Conroy

Like the GOP, Democrats are nominating fewer women this cycle compared to 2020, but women are still a substantial share of all their party’s nominees. According to the Center for American Women and Politics, women are 40 percent of House nominees and 33 percent of Senate nominees thus far (in 2020 it was 47 percent and 36 percent, respectively). Tonight, Democratic women have won or are leading in a few races that could be competitive in November. For instance, in Arizona, Secretary of State Katie Hobbs won the gubernatorial primary, and in the 6th District, state Sen. Kirsten Engel is leading Daniel Hernandez. And in Michigan, former Department of Justice Attorney Hillary Scholten will run in the 3rd District.

How Democratic women are doing tonight

Women running for Senate, House and governor and their results in Democratic primaries in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Missouri and Washington, as of 11:56 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Office % Reporting Vote Share Status
Katie Hobbs AZ Gov. 77% 73.8% ✓ Won
Kirsten Engel AZ-06 94 60.6 Leading
Laura Kelly* KS Gov. 99 93.9 ✓ Won
Sharice Davids* KS-03 2 100.0 ✓ Won
Gretchen Whitmer* MI Gov. 25 100.0 ✓ Won
Hillary Scholten MI-03 37 100.0 ✓ Won
Debbie Dingell* MI-06 5 100.0 ✓ Won
Elissa Slotkin* MI-07 16 100.0 ✓ Won
Huwaida Arraf MI-10 24 16.9 Trailing
Rhonda Powell MI-10 24 16.8 Trailing
Angela Rogensues MI-10 24 15.3 Trailing
Haley Stevens* MI-11 94 59.4 ✓ Won
Rashida Tlaib* MI-12 28 59.9 ✓ Won
Janice Winfrey MI-12 28 23.2 ✗ Lost
Shanelle Jackson MI-12 28 5.7 ✗ Lost
Portia Roberson MI-13 7 22.9 Trailing
Sherry Gay-Dagnogo MI-13 7 5.6 Trailing
Sharon McPhail MI-13 7 4.1 Trailing
Lorrie Rutledge MI-13 7 0.9 Trailing
Trudy Busch Valentine MO Sen. 85 43.3 ✓ Won
Carla Coffee Wright MO Sen. 85 3.9 ✗ Lost
Gena Ross MO Sen. 85 2.4 ✗ Lost
Cori Bush* MO-01 85 69.5 ✓ Won
Trish Gunby MO-02 76 85.2 ✓ Won
Bethany Mann MO-03 64 62.2 ✓ Won
Maite Salazar MO-05 81 14.4 ✗ Lost
Kristen Radaker-Sheafer MO-07 46 63.3 ✓ Won
Randi McCallian MO-08 49 100.0 ✓ Won
Patty Murray* WA Sen. 52 54.1 Leading
Suzan DelBene* WA-01 46 63.7 Leading
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez WA-03 52 31.8 Leading
Natasha Hill WA-05 52 30.6 Trailing
Ann Marie Danimus WA-05 52 11.3 Trailing
Rebecca Parson WA-06 63 8.6 Trailing
Pramila Jayapal* WA-07 49 83.9 Leading
Kim Schrier* WA-08 53 49.4 Leading
Stephanie Gallardo WA-09 45 13.4 Trailing
Marilyn Strickland* WA-10 49 56.0 Leading

*Incumbent.

Sources: Center for American Women and Politics, ABC News


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