FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Speaking of impeachment Republicans, things are still incredibly close in Michigan’s 3rd District GOP primary. Gibbs leads Meijer 51 percent to 49 percent, with 73 percent of the expected vote reporting. Early on, Meijer held a big lead in Kent County (Grand Rapids), which will cast around 70 percent of the vote in this district, but it’s now only barely going for Meijer, 52 percent to 48 percent. The other parts of the district are going pretty big for Gibbs, so the fact that Trump’s endorsee has cut the margin in Kent could be his ticket to victory.

Nathaniel Rakich

It’s been a big night for nationally (in)famous Republicans seeking comebacks. Looks like Joe Arpaio is going the way of Eric Greitens rather than Kris Kobach.

Geoffrey Skelley

Washington’s other House Republican who backed impeachment is also in a tight race. With about half the vote in from the 4th District, Dan Newhouse leads with 27 percent, just ahead of Doug White, the only Democrat running, who has 26 percent. Trump’s endorsee, Loren Culp, is in third with 22 percent. So it looks like it’s going to be close.


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