FiveThirtyEight
Jacob Rubashkin

This stat on turnout is quite something

Geoffrey Skelley

Sarah, 10 House Republicans voted to impeach Trump. Of those, four decided to retire, in part because some attracted primary opponents whom Trump endorsed or because of redistricting — or both. Two of the six who are seeking reelection have already had their primaries. Of those, California Rep. David Valadao narrowly advanced in his top-two primary ahead of a very Trumpy (but not Trump-endorsed opponent), while South Carolina Rep. Tom Rice lost outright in his regular party primary, not even forcing it a runoff against a Trump-endorsed opponent. Meijer is one of three representatives who faced the voters today, with Washington Reps. Jaime Herrera Beutler and Dan Newhouse also on the docket. Meijer is locked in a very close primary fight, but it’s possible that Herrera Beutler and Newhouse might benefit from Washington’s top-two system, much as Valadao appears to have done. The other remaining impeachment vote is Wyoming Rep. Liz Cheney, who trails in the polls and may be doomed in her regular party primary that takes place later this month.

The results so far for Republicans who backed impeachment

The 10 House Republicans who backed impeachment, including whether they are seeking reelection, have a Trump-endorsed primary challenger and if they lost their primary, by the partisan lean of their new congressional district

Representative New District Primary date Trump-endorsed primary opponent Primary result Partisan Lean
David Valadao CA-22 June 7 Won D+10.1
Tom Rice SC-07 June 14 Lost R+25.8
Peter Meijer MI-03 Aug. 2 ? D+2.5
Jaime Herrera Beutler WA-03 Aug. 2 ? R+11.2
Dan Newhouse WA-04 Aug. 2 ? R+24.6
Liz Cheney WY-AL Aug. 16 ? R+49.7
Fred Upton*
Anthony Gonzalez*
Adam Kinzinger*
John Katko*

*Retired

Source: NEWS REPORTS, U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

Sarah Frostenson

Geoff, I know this is something you’ve been tracking closely over the past year, but how have House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump fared this cycle?


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