FiveThirtyEight
Aaron Bycoffe

While Trump will win all 17 of Pennsylvania’s statewide delegates, the state will also send an additional 54 unbound delegates to the national convention. These delegates — three from each congressional district — were listed on today’s ballots without any indication of which candidate they might support. Many, however, have said publicly how they intend to vote at the convention (though they are free to change their minds). Below are the top three delegates right now in the districts that have reported results so far, along with how they’ve said they will vote. This list may change as more results come in. Many of the delegates have said they will back the winner of their district which, in many (if not all) cases, will be Trump.
DISTRICT DELEGATE PERCENTAGE STATED PREFERENCE
1 Vogler, Christopher M 37.42% Uncommitted
1 Hackett, David 31.75 District Winner
1 Kaufer, Seth W 30.83 Uncommitted
2 Havey, Elizabeth 29.30 District Winner
2 Tucker, Calvin R 29.16 Uncommitted
2 Cohen, Aaron J 25.82 Uncommitted
3 English, Philip S 17.66 Uncommitted
3 Ryan, Carol Lynne 11.27 Trump
3 Yates, Robert J. 11.14 District Winner
4 Sacco, Joseph A 13.38 Trump
4 Jansen, Matthew R 11.40 Trump
4 Scaringi, Marc Anthony 10.90 Trump
5 Klein, James Feuer 16.72 Trump
5 Mcclure, C Arnold 13.72 Trump
5 Khare, Ash 12.84 District Winner
6 Costello, Ryan A 25.32 District Winner
6 Lightcap, Vicki 14.27 District Winner
6 Buckwalter, Wayne 14.08 Trump
7 Puppio, Michael V 25.86 District Winner
7 Willert, Robert J. 24.10 Unknown
7 Miller, Joan M 23.42 District Winner
8 Worthington, Samuel James Jr 18.74 District Winner
8 Casper, Barry Robert 17.07 District Winner
8 Quinn, Marguerite C 14.50 Unknown
9 Shuster, William F 19.34 District Winner
9 Ward, Judith F 16.31 District Winner
9 Taylor, Debra D 13.45 Trump
10 Sides, Carol D 13.99 Unknown
10 Scavello, Mario Michael 10.04 District Winner
10 Pickett, Tina 9.44 District Winner
11 Morelli, Richard 16.28 Trump
11 Mcelwee, David J 12.68 Trump
11 Shecktor, Andrew 9.25 Trump
12 Steigerwalt, George F 10.80 Cruz
12 Vasilko, James J 9.69 Trump
12 Morrill, Monica 9.25 Trump
13 Ellis, Thomas Jay 17.29 District Winner
13 Cox, Gilbert W Jr 15.86 Unknown
13 Casper, Lauren Elizabeth 14.51 District Winner
14 Meloy, Mary A 35.65 Uncommitted
14 Devanney, Michael 34.78 Uncommitted
14 Linton, Cameron S 29.57 Kasich
16 Brubaker, Douglas W 22.86 Cruz
16 Denlinger, Gordon Ray 22.74 Uncommitted
16 Dumeyer, David M 17.43 District Winner
17 Villano, Teresa Lynette 18.50 Trump
17 Bonkoski, Carolyn L 17.79 Trump
17 Snover, Gloria Lee 15.10 District Winner
18 Means, Sue Ann 13.39 Cruz
18 Deplato, Justin Phd 13.13 Trump
18 Petrarca, John Thomas 12.94 District Winner
Pennsylvania’s Delegates
Julia Azari

Clinton Emphasizes Lifting Each Other Up, Not Tearing Each Other Down

This year’s election race is the first test of the Obama legacy – not just of its strength, but about what it actually means. Obama has toggled back and forth between attempting to fulfill his promises of change, and working within the terms of debate that he inherited from predecessors — talking about business, work, private industry, cleaning up government through things like lobbying reform. But the conversation about equality among the historically marginalized groups that make up the Democratic coalition has shifted considerably during his two terms. It’s not clear how much of this Obama can really take credit for – he signed on to support marriage equality after public opinion had shifted, for instance. But he did put political weight behind that issue eventually, and behind repealing “don’t ask, don’t tell.” Issues for Americans who don’t fit into binary gender categories, the high rate of imprisonment, and racial justice – these have come up, too. And while Obama hasn’t been out in front of them, the party and the country have shifted and started new (and in many cases difficult) conversations. Clinton’s rhetoric seems to reflect that, with her emphasis on lifting each other up instead of tearing each other down, and on removing barriers. It offers the potential for her to integrate her role as the first woman candidate with a more substantive policy message. This has been a bit rocky for her – think back to the first Democratic debate. But the last two speeches have sounded some of these themes, and it seems to be working better. The implications for Obama’s legacy suggest, for one thing, that it might have meaning beyond the Affordable Care Act or his more fraught foreign policy approach. And it defies the longer historical story that Clinton tried to tell by referring to figures like FDR. The full-throated embrace of equality for marginalized groups has been an uneven and complicated journey for Democrats.
Harry Enten

If I’m Clinton, I have to like the look of the Connecticut map. She’s down 1.5 percentage points with about half of precincts reporting, but there are a ton of votes left in Bridgeport, Hartford and much of southwestern Connecticut. Those are all Clinton strongholds where she is winning by 30 percentage points or more. Of course, we’ll have to see what happens.

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