FiveThirtyEight
Harry Enten

It’s pretty clear that Trump is getting all 28 delegates in Connecticut. On the Democratic side, we’re still waiting for a lot more votes from Bridgeport, Hartford and New Haven, which could help Clinton close what is now a 3-percentage-point deficit.
Clare Malone

Another notable exit poll nugget: Trump is killing it with evangelicals. Granted, it’s not as big a group in the Northeast as it is in the South, but Cruz is losing this group to Trump by about 25 percentage points in Pennsylvania, Maryland and Connecticut, which has to smart, given that evangelicals were once seen as the Texas senator’s core constituency.
Nate Silver

It’s not as if Cruz has had a good night, but a lot of the reason the #NeverTrump forces argued that Kasich should stay in the race is because he could steal congressional districts in the Northeast and prevent Trump from hitting 50-percent delegate thresholds in New York and Connecticut. Trump got more than 50 percent of the vote last week in New York, however, winning all but five delegates, and he looks likely to top 50 percent in Connecticut tonight as well. It’s possible that Kasich will win a congressional district or two in Maryland and he’ll get a few proportional delegates in Rhode Island. But overall this is a miserable performance for Kasich. He’ll probably still be behind Rubio in delegates, even though Rubio dropped out six weeks ago.

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