FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Sweetwater County looks like it’s more or less done counting, and Hageman leads Cheney there 68 percent to 24 percent. This ancestrally Democratic county is maybe ~8 points Trumpier than the state as a whole, based on the 2018 gubernatorial primary (Trump endorsee Foster Freiss got 33 percent in Sweetwater while winning 25 percent statewide). So, based on that, I’d mayyyyybe guess that Hageman will win statewide around 60 percent to 32 percent?


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