FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

I think Republicans are going to have a hard time winning Georgia’s 2nd District if Hunt doesn’t win tonight. He is a perfect candidate on paper for that district: a Black West Point graduate in a district whose voting-age population is 48 percent Black. If West (who is white) is the nominee, though, Democratic Rep. Sanford Bishop will have a clearer advantage despite the district’s D+4 partisan lean. It is very inelastic, and any Republican will need to make inroads with Black voters there in order to succeed.

Jacob Rubashkin

Interesting story about Dale Strong in Alabama’s 5th District: Several local GOP leaders actually tried to get him booted from the ballot because, as Madison County commissioner, he oversaw the removal of a Confederate monument from the Madison County Courthouse in 2020 following the summer of Black Lives Matter protests.

Geoffrey Skelley

And that’s that. ABC News reports that former Business Council of Alabama President Katie Britt is projected to win the Republican primary runoff for U.S. Senate in Alabama. She’s leading Rep. Mo Brooks 63 percent to 37 percent, with 12 percent of the expected vote reporting.


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