What Went Down At The ABC Republican Debate

I think that does make sense, Micah. Take a look at the latest poll from the University of New Hampshire: Who is the candidate that leads among those definitely decided? It’s Donald Trump with 40 percent. No one else is above 14 percent. Trump’s actually trailing among those who haven’t totally made up their mind. That is, the vote that is still up for grabs tends not to be a Trump vote. The leader of the not-totally-decided vote? It was Marco Rubio.

I’d simplify that to say that Cruz and Rubio not having great nights would be good for Trump. Rubio’s clearly not having his finest hour. Cruz hasn’t been too memorable. (My theory about Rubio right now is that he’s switched to general-election debate mode: He’d go to a mosque — theoretically — he’s worked in a bipartisan way.)

There’s some talk that Bush and Kasich are having good nights, which may end up being good news for Trump because he could win New Hampshire with say 30 percent … does that make sense?