FiveThirtyEight
Julia Azari

I’d simplify that to say that Cruz and Rubio not having great nights would be good for Trump. Rubio’s clearly not having his finest hour. Cruz hasn’t been too memorable. (My theory about Rubio right now is that he’s switched to general-election debate mode: He’d go to a mosque — theoretically — he’s worked in a bipartisan way.)
Micah Cohen

There’s some talk that Bush and Kasich are having good nights, which may end up being good news for Trump because he could win New Hampshire with say 30 percent … does that make sense?
Nate Silver

The absence of military veterans on the Republican stage tonight, with none remaining in the Democratic race, is quite a sea change. Between 1948 and 2008, at least one veteran was among the major-party nominees in every single election. (Although we should note that low-polling GOP candidate Jim Gilmore is a veteran, as was Democrat Jim Webb, who has since dropped his presidential bid.)

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