FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Elsewhere in California, Karen Bass took the lead over Rick Caruso in the Los Angeles mayoral race tonight. She now leads 50.4 percent to 49.6 percent, and if the primary is any indication, her lead should only grow from here. Both Bass and Caruso are Democrats, but Bass is the more liberal candidate and enjoys the endorsement of party luminaries like Biden and Harris. Caruso, on the other hand, is more moderate and has a bit of a populist streak, earning him (a billionaire who has self-funded his campaigns) comparisons to Donald Trump.


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