FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

In Nevada, Clark County reported a batch of around 27,000 votes, and as expected, this group of mostly mail-in ballots went heavily Democratic. In the Senate race, Cortez Masto won 63 percent of this batch to Laxalt’s 33 percent, which cut Cortez Masto’s statewide deficit to a razor-thin 0.1 percentage points — just 798 votes. In the governor’s race, Sisolak won 61 percent of this batch to Lombardo’s 34 percent, which reduced Sisolak’s statewide deficit to 2.2 points (or around 7,300 votes). ABC News now estimates there are close to 70,000 ballots left to tally statewide, and more than 55,000 are in Clark and Washoe counties, so Cortez Masto’s chances of taking the lead look high. But Lombardo has a larger advantage, so he may be able to hold off Sisolak, who’ll need a far greater percentage of the remaining votes than Cortez Masto does to overtake his GOP rival.


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