FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich
(D) Key Race Projected

Following Republican Neil Parrott’s concession, ABC News is reporting that Democratic Rep. David Trone is projected to win reelection in Maryland’s 6th District. That brings us to 200 individual districts that have been projected for Democrats, plus two unprojected districts in California (the 15th and 34th) that are Democrat-versus-Democrat. That means Democrats must win 16 of the 22 unprojected Democrat-versus-Republican races to keep their House majority. They currently lead in just 12.

Several House races are still up in the air

Districts where ABC News has not yet reported a projected winner, as of 4:02 p.m. Eastern

Race Democrat Republican Percent reporting Vote margin Vote share margin
AK-1 Peltola i Palin 72% 44,406 D+20.7
AZ-1 Hodge Schweikert i 80 4,577 D+1.6
AZ-6 Engel Ciscomani 82 5,541 R+2.0
CA-3 Jones Kiley 45 9,851 R+6.5
CA-6 Bera i Hamilton 26 7,509 D+11.6
CA-9 Harder i Patti 36 9,918 D+12.5
CA-13 Gray Duarte 44 267 R+0.4
CA-21 Costa i Maher 49 7,463 D+9.1
CA-22 Salas Valadao i 32 3,855 R+8.4
CA-26 Brownley i Jacobs 54 12,782 D+8.5
CA-27 Smith Garcia i 49 16,151 R+12.8
CA-41 Rollins Calvert i 43 1,285 R+1.1
CA-45 Chen Steel i 55 13,269 R+9.1
CA-47 Porter i Baugh 63 2,970 D+1.6
CA-49 Levin i Maryott 64 6,652 D+3.4
CO-3 Frisch Boebert i 99 1,122 R+0.3
ME-2 Golden i Poliquin 88 15,013 D+5.4
NV-3 Lee i Becker 90 4,646 D+2.0
NY-22 Conole Williams 94 3,925 R+1.5
OR-5 McLeod-Skinner Chavez-DeRemer 86 6,792 R+2.3
OR-6 Salinas Erickson 80 4,058 D+1.7
WA-3 Perez Kent 83 5,882 D+2.3

i Incumbent.

Does not include races where both candidates are from the same party.

Source: ABC News


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