That is surprising, Alex! There were also a couple of upsets in Ohio, which ended up being a good state for Democrats. In the 13th District, Republican candidate Madison Gesiotto Gilbert was expected to win — our final forecast gave Gilbert a nearly 4-in-5 chance of winning — but Democrat Emilia Sykes wound up taking the seat. Sykes is a member of the Ohio Legislature and part of a local political dynasty, so she had a lot of local name recognition. But so did Gilbert (she’s married to former Pittsburgh Steelers offensive lineman Marcus Gilbert), and she was a really strong candidate, so I didn’t see this one coming.
