Paroma, a lot of those flips so far can be explained by redistricting. Florida’s 7th and 13th districts were redrawn to be reliably Republican; same with Tennessee’s 5th. In addition, New Jersey’s 7th District got a few points redder in order to shore up Democratic incumbents in neighboring districts. And Ohio’s 1st District went from slightly more Republican-leaning than the nation as a whole to slightly more Democratic-leaning.
