FiveThirtyEight
Meredith Conroy

I’m watching several toss-up races where women are in the running, and five of these races feature two women running against each other: Alaska’s 1st District, Virginia’s 2nd District, Oregon’s 5th District, Texas’s 15th District and Pennsylvania’s 2nd District. The Republican in Virginia’s 2nd, Jen Kiggans, is the projected winner there. In Pennsylvania, the Democrat leads narrowly, with 93 percent reporting. And in Alaska, there are no votes reported yet, as all polls there have not closed yet.

How are women faring in ‘Toss-Up’ races?

Results for female candidates in races where both parties had less than a 60 percent chance of winning, according to the Deluxe version of FiveThirtyEight’s final preelection forecast, as of 12:22 a.m. Eastern

race candidate party Percent reporting vote margin Winner?
AK-1 Mary S. Peltola i D 0%
AK-1 Sarah Palin R 0
IA-3 Cindy Axne i D 91 R+0.7
MI-3 Hillary Scholten D 49 D+13.2
NV Senate Catherine Cortez Masto i D 0
NV-1 Dina Titus i D 0
OR-5 Jamie McLeod-Skinner D 59 R+5.1
OR-5 Lori Chavez-DeRemer R 59 R+5.1
PA-7 Susan Wild i D 93 D+0.2
PA-7 Lisa Scheller R 93 D+0.2
TX-15 Michelle Vallejo D 84 R+9.7
TX-15 Monica De La Cruz R 84 R+9.7
TX-34 Mayra Flores i R 85 D+8.5
VA-2 Elaine G. Luria i D 99 R+4.3
VA-2 Jen A. Kiggans R 99 R+4.3

i Incumbent.

Source: ABC News


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