FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

What’s shaking in Pennsylvania’s marquee Senate race? An extremely tight contest, that’s what. Fetterman leads Oz 49.4 percent to 48.1 percent with 84 percent of the expected vote reporting. But Fetterman has been running ahead of our benchmarks in much of the state, so he’s probably in a somewhat better position than Oz at this point. And the good news for Fetterman is that deep-blue Philadelphia has only reported about two-thirds of its expected vote, meaning he can likely expect to gain a bunch of votes there as more gets reported.


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