FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

At the same time in Georgia, Kemp has pulled ahead of Abrams 53 percent to 47 percent in the overall vote count, and you can see that Kemp is beating his benchmarks in most counties across the state. This is consistent with our preelection expectations that Kemp would win — and run ahead of Walker.

Georgia governor results vs. benchmarks

How the parties are performing in each county or county equivalent compared with benchmarks based on the vote margin in the 2020 presidential election, as of 9:05 p.m. Eastern

Vote margin is the difference between the Democrat’s vote share and the Republican’s vote share. Benchmark margins reflect the results that would produce a 50-50 tie, so performance relative to these benchmarks could signal which party is performing better on election night.

Source: ABC News


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