Chad, I’m a fan of the Needle! It’s essentially a much more efficient, computerized way of doing what we election analysts do when we say, “Warnock is doing X in Fulton County, and that’s above/below what he needs to win.” In general, I think it’s reliable, but the one thing I hope they figured out is how to handle the differences between mail and in-person votes. Mail votes obviously skew Democratic, and in-person votes obviously skew Republican, and you have to know which one you’re looking at before saying a certain vote total in a certain county is good for Democrats or Republicans.
