In what would truly be the most surprising result of the cycle, controversial Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert appears in real danger of losing her R+15 seat, which covers a huge area spanning parts of western and southern Colorado. Her Democratic opponent, Adam Frisch, leads by 0.8 points, 50.4 percent to 49.6 percent, with 90 percent of the expected vote reporting. The name of the game now is figuring out the partisan leanings of the roughly 35,000 still-to-be-counted votes. The good news for Frisch is that about 21,000 of them are in Pueblo County, where he leads by roughly 11 points, so those could be friendly to him. But of the other outstanding votes, roughly half are in Republican-leaning Mesa and Otero counties, so Boebert will likely gain from those. So things are very much on a knife’s edge.
