Good point, Humera. Meanwhile, Democrats aren’t doing quite so well in House districts that our forecast thought were ‘lean Republican’ …
The status of ‘lean Republican’ House races
Results in districts where the Republican candidate had between a 60 percent and 75 percent chance of winning, according to the Deluxe version of FiveThirtyEight’s final preelection forecast, as of 12:48 p.m. Eastern
| race | democrat | republican | Percent reporting | Vote Margin | ABC Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ-2 | O’Halleran i | Crane | 81% | R+7.3 | ✔ R |
| CA-22 | Salas | Valadao i | 30 | R+7.9 | |
| CA-27 | Smith | Garcia i | 44 | R+15.2 | |
| NJ-7 | Malinowski i | Kean | 99 | R+4.0 | ✔ R |
| NY-22 | Conole | Williams | 94 | R+1.5 |
… or that were ‘likely Republican,’ as you noted.
Democrats’ path to keeping the House is definitely continuing to narrow.