Nathaniel, those two seats in Pennsylvania add to the toss-up races so far that seem like a missed opportunity for Republicans. Of the eight toss-up races in our preelection forecast that have been projected, Democrats have won six of those seats.
The status of ‘toss-up’ House races
Results in districts where both candidates had less than a 60 percent chance of winning, according to the Deluxe version of FiveThirtyEight’s final preelection forecast, as of 12:24 p.m. Eastern
| race | democrat | republican | Percent reporting | Vote Margin | ABC Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-1 | Peltola i | Palin | 71% | D+20.5 | |
| IA-3 | Axne i | Nunn | 91 | R+0.7 | |
| MI-3 | Scholten | Gibbs | 99 | D+12.9 | ✔ D |
| NV-1 | Titus i | Robertson | 84 | D+2.9 | |
| NY-19 | Riley | Molinaro | 99 | R+2.2 | |
| OR-5 | McLeod-Skinner | Chavez-DeRemer | 74 | R+3.7 | |
| PA-17 | Deluzio | Shaffer | 99 | D+6.4 | ✔ D |
| PA-7 | Wild i | Scheller | 96 | D+1.6 | ✔ D |
| PA-8 | Cartwright i | Bognet | 96 | D+2.3 | ✔ D |
| RI-2 | Magaziner | Fung | 92 | D+3.3 | ✔ D |
| TX-15 | Vallejo | De La Cruz-Hernandez | 89 | R+8.5 | ✔ R |
| TX-34 | Gonzalez i | Flores i | 87 | D+8.5 | ✔ D |
| VA-2 | Luria i | Kiggans | 99 | R+4.1 | ✔ R |