FiveThirtyEight
Humera Lodhi

Monica, you mentioned Arizona races with election deniers running.

Election deniers had a huge presence among Republican candidates this election cycle β€” most Republican candidates for statewide office denied the election in some form, per our previous reporting.

But it’s interesting to see that they don’t seem to have resonated with midterm voters from what we’re seeing right now. In most of the gubernatorial and secretary-of-state races that have been projected, those who denied or at least questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election lost.

How election deniers are doing tonight

Gubernatorial and secretary of state candidates who have either denied or questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election and their results, as of 12:18 p.m. Eastern

CANDIDATE OFFICE Position on 2020 election % REPORTING MARGIN STATUS
Mike Dunleavy AK Gov. ❓ Raised doubts 71% +28.9 β€”
Kay Ivey AL Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 81 +37.8 βœ“ Won
Wes Allen AL SoS ❓ Raised doubts 77 +35.0 βœ“ Won
Sarah Huckabee Sanders AR Gov. ❓ Raised doubts 95 +28.1 βœ“ Won
Kari Lake AZ Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 69 -0.7 β€”
Mark Finchem AZ SoS 🚫 Denied legitimacy 68 -4.8 β€”
Dominic Rapini CT SoS ❓ Raised doubts 83 -11.6 βœ— Lost
Brad Little ID Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 86 +39.3 βœ“ Won
Darren Bailey IL Gov. ❓ Raised doubts 83 -11.1 βœ— Lost
Derek Schmidt KS Gov. ❓ Raised doubts 98 -1.5 βœ— Lost
Geoff Diehl MA Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 52 -28.7 βœ— Lost
Dan Cox MD Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 73 -22.5 βœ— Lost
Paul R. LePage ME Gov. ❓ Raised doubts 76 -18.2 βœ— Lost
Kristina Karamo MI SoS 🚫 Denied legitimacy 95 -13.2 βœ— Lost
Tudor M. Dixon MI Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 96 -9.8 βœ— Lost
Kim Crockett MN SoS 🚫 Denied legitimacy 95 -9.1 βœ— Lost
Audrey Trujillo NM SoS 🚫 Denied legitimacy 96 -11.6 βœ— Lost
Joe Lombardo NV Gov. ❓ Raised doubts 80 +4.7 β€”
Jim Marchant NV SoS 🚫 Denied legitimacy 80 +1.1 β€”
Douglas V. Mastriano PA Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 94 -13.3 βœ— Lost
Henry McMaster SC Gov. ❓ Raised doubts 99 +17.5 βœ“ Won
Kristi Noem SD Gov. ❓ Raised doubts 99 +26.8 βœ“ Won
Monae Johnson SD SoS ❓ Raised doubts 99 +29.7 βœ“ Won
Greg Abbott TX Gov. ❓ Raised doubts 99 +8.7 βœ“ Won
H. Brooke Paige VT SoS 🚫 Denied legitimacy 72 -27.4 βœ— Lost
Tim Michels WI Gov. ❓ Raised doubts 94 -3.2 βœ— Lost

Candidates marked as having β€œdenied legitimacy” of the 2020 election either explicitly said Donald Trump’s loss or the 2020 election itself was illegitimate or, if an elected official at the time, took legal measures to try to overturn the election. Candidates marked as β€œraised doubts” have questioned the fairness of the 2020 election but have not explicitly said the election or Trump’s loss was illegitimate.

Sources: News reports, campaigns, ABC News


Filed under

Exit mobile version