New Hampshire is the first of the big five competitive Senate races to have a projected winner. It was also the least competitive — Hassan had a 72-in-100 chance of winning in our preelection forecast. In other words, it was the easiest lift for Democrats, so this doesn’t mean a ton for control of the Senate. Still, it does mean that Democrats will avoid their worst-case scenario of losing all five of these races, which seemed to be on the table in the closing days of the campaign as chatter about a “red wave” increased.
