It’s also notable that, in Arizona, Katie Hobbs is leading at about the same rate as Mark Kelly (55 percent and 56 percent, respectively), which is not totally what we expected heading into Election Day (Kelly was performing better than Hobbs). And Lake is performing slightly better than Masters, which we expected, but that might be partly due to the wild card factor of Marc Victor, the Libertarian candidate for Senate, who is pulling 2 percent of the vote. If you add that 2 percent to Masters’s 41 percent, you get a lot closer to Lake’s 45 percent.
