Here again is a scatterplot comparing the current county-by-county margins in the Georgia Senate race to county-by-county benchmarks we’ve calculated that would point to an exactly tied race. We’ve also made it clearer which side of the line represents a Democratic overperformance and which represents a Republican overperformance. As you can see, we’re still on track for a photo finish in Georgia. If I had to guess, I’d say this one is going to a Dec. 6 runoff. 
