How Election Week 2022 Went Down

Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert, one of Trump’s most outspoken allies and proponent of the baseless theory that the 2020 election was stolen, currently trails Democrat Adam Frisch, 51 percent to 49 percent with 86 percent of the expected vote counted. This would qualify as a major upset: The Deluxe version of our forecast gave Frisch just a 3-in-100 chance of unseating Boebert. But the outstanding ballots are expected to favor Boebert, so we have a long way to go before this one is called.

Checking in on Arizona, we’re still waiting on about half of the votes in many races, so it’s going to be a while before we get enough results for ABC News to make a projection. In the race for Senate, Democratic incumbent Sen. Mark Kelly is ahead with 56 percent to Republican Blake Masters’s 41 percent (Libertarian candidate Marc Victor has 2 percent of the vote). That’s with 56 percent of the expected vote reporting. For governor, it’s equally close. Republican Kari Lake has 45 percent to Democrat Katie Hobbs’s 55 percent, with 56 percent reporting. These races likely won’t be called anytime soon, given how close they are and how many votes are still yet to be counted.

Basically the one Wisconsin race we’re still waiting on is the U.S. Senate race. Johnson leads Barnes 51 percent to 49 percent, and the Republican will very probably prevail in the end. While there are still around 50,000 ballots left to count in Milwaukee (a very blue area), Johnson currently leads by 38,733 votes, and that will be a difficult deficit for Barnes to make up.