FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger’s COO has essentially said what we are all thinking, which is that Georgia’s Senate race is headed for a runoff.

Jacob Rubashkin

At this late hour, I’m still watching a few uncalled races.

  • In Michigan, Democrat Hillary Scholten leads Republican John Gibbs 54-43 in the 3rd District, which is a top Democratic pickup opportunity. But in the 7th District, incumbent Democrat Elissa Slotkin trails Republican Tom Barrett, 50-48 percent. In the 8th District, Democrat Dan Kildee has 50 percent to Republican Paul Junge’s 46 percent, and in the 10th District, Republican John James leads Democrat Carl Marlinga, 53-45 percent, in a top GOP pickup opportunity.
  • In Washington, Democrat Marie Glusenkamp Perez is leading GOP opponent Joe Kent, 53-47 percent, in the 3rd District, with just about 60 percent of the vote counted. And in the 8th District, Democratic incumbent Kim Schrier leads Republican Matt Larkin, 53-47 percent, also with just under 60 percent of the vote counted.
Meena Ganesan

In Alaska’s Senate race, Republican Sen. Lisa Murkowski is in a tough race with her challenger, Republican Kelly Tshibaka. Tshibaka was endorsed by Trump. Murkowski, meanwhile, voted to convict Trump in the former president’s impeachment trial for his role in the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol. If she wins, it’ll likely be thanks to a coalition of Democrats and independents, with some Republicans. With 49 percent of the expected vote reporting, Tshibaka is leading, 47 percent to Murkowski’s 41 percent. But Alaska’s ranked-choice voting system could further help the senator.


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