FiveThirtyEight
Anna Rothschild

Fetterman delivers victory speech after projected Democratic Senate win in Pennsylvania:

Santul Nerkar

ABC News is also projecting that Rep. Angie Craig will win reelection in Minnesota’s 2nd District. Craig currently leads her Republican challenger, Marine veteran Tyler Kistner, 51 percent to 46 percent with 91 percent of the expected vote reporting. The Deluxe version of our forecast gave Craig an 80-in-100 chance of holding onto this light-blue seat, which has a FiveThirtyEight partisan lean of D+1.

Meredith Conroy

Whitmer, who faced a female challenger, Tudor Dixon, made abortion central to her campaign. In other places, despite Democrats best efforts, abortion wasn’t top of mind. But in Michigan Whitmer was likely helped by the abortion ballot measure. The all-female contest probably made the issue more salient, as well.


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