How Election Week 2022 Went Down

ABC News is also projecting that Rep. Angie Craig will win reelection in Minnesota’s 2nd District. Craig currently leads her Republican challenger, Marine veteran Tyler Kistner, 51 percent to 46 percent with 91 percent of the expected vote reporting. The Deluxe version of our forecast gave Craig an 80-in-100 chance of holding onto this light-blue seat, which has a FiveThirtyEight partisan lean of D+1.

Whitmer, who faced a female challenger, Tudor Dixon, made abortion central to her campaign. In other places, despite Democrats best efforts, abortion wasn’t top of mind. But in Michigan Whitmer was likely helped by the abortion ballot measure. The all-female contest probably made the issue more salient, as well.

Over in Utah, ABC News projects that Republican Sen. Mike Lee has defeated independent Evan McMullin. Lee led throughout the campaign, but McMullin’s endorsement from the state Democratic Party made what would’ve otherwise been a total snoozefest truly interesting because a sizable anti-Lee coalition actually took shape.

Currently, Lee leads 55 percent to 41 percent, with 59 percent of the expected vote reporting, but Salt Lake County, the bluest and most populous place in the state, has more than half of the remaining vote left to tally. As a result, it’s possible McMullin might lose by single digits and pretty much certain that Lee will be the first Republican Senate candidate to win less than 60 percent since 1992. He could also be the first to win by only single digits since 1976, when Republican Orrin Hatch defeated Democratic Sen. Frank Moss (the last Democrat to represent Utah in the Senate) by 9 points.