How Election Week 2022 Went Down
Fetterman is projected to win Pennsylvania’s Senate seat, an important seat flip in a highly competitive race. We’re tracking Democrats’ performance by county, and the particularly noticeable shifts are in counties like Allegheny, Washington and Erie.
Pennsylvania Senate results vs. benchmarks
How the parties are performing in each county or county equivalent compared with benchmarks based on the vote margin in the 2020 presidential election, as of 1:22 a.m. Eastern
| Locality | Statewide vote share | Benchmark vote margin | Exp. vote | Vote Margin | Shift from Benchmark |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 10.7% | D+62.4 | 69% | D+64.4 | D+2.0 |
| Allegheny | 10.4 | D+19.3 | 95 | D+28.4 | D+9.1 |
| Montgomery | 7.4 | D+25.1 | 95 | D+28.1 | D+3.0 |
| Bucks | 5.7 | D+3.2 | 93 | D+4.8 | D+1.6 |
| Delaware | 4.7 | D+25.6 | 37 | D+28.9 | D+3.3 |
| Chester | 4.5 | D+15.9 | 79 | D+3.8 | R+12.1 |
| Lancaster | 4.1 | R+17.0 | 95 | R+16.8 | D+0.2 |
| York | 3.4 | R+25.8 | 95 | R+21.6 | D+4.2 |
| Berks | 3.0 | R+9.4 | 95 | R+6.3 | D+3.1 |
| Westmoreland | 3.0 | R+29.6 | 99 | R+19.6 | D+9.9 |
| Lehigh | 2.7 | D+6.4 | 95 | D+10.1 | D+3.7 |
| Northampton | 2.5 | R+0.5 | 99 | D+3.1 | D+3.5 |
| Luzerne | 2.2 | R+15.6 | 95 | R+8.9 | D+6.6 |
| Dauphin | 2.1 | D+7.4 | 95 | D+9.9 | D+2.6 |
| Cumberland | 2.0 | R+11.8 | 95 | R+5.8 | D+5.9 |
| Erie | 2.0 | R+0.2 | 95 | D+9.4 | D+9.6 |
| Washington | 1.7 | R+24.0 | 99 | R+14.2 | D+9.8 |
| Lackawanna | 1.7 | D+7.2 | 98 | D+15.8 | D+8.6 |
| Butler | 1.6 | R+33.7 | 99 | R+25.8 | D+7.9 |
| Beaver | 1.4 | R+18.9 | 80 | R+24.8 | R+5.9 |
| Monroe | 1.2 | D+5.2 | 95 | D+5.7 | D+0.5 |
| Franklin | 1.2 | R+44.3 | 95 | R+41.8 | D+2.5 |
| Centre | 1.1 | D+3.6 | 94 | D+7.1 | D+3.5 |
| Lebanon | 1.0 | R+33.0 | 95 | R+28.4 | D+4.6 |
| Schuylkill | 1.0 | R+41.0 | 95 | R+32.6 | D+8.4 |
| Cambria | 1.0 | R+38.5 | 95 | R+31.2 | D+7.3 |
| Blair | 0.9 | R+44.7 | 95 | R+43.8 | D+0.9 |
| Fayette | 0.9 | R+34.6 | 95 | R+23.2 | D+11.4 |
| Lycoming | 0.9 | R+42.5 | 95 | R+39.7 | D+2.8 |
| Mercer | 0.8 | R+27.2 | 95 | R+23.2 | D+4.0 |
| Adams | 0.8 | R+35.3 | 95 | R+28.9 | D+6.4 |
| Lawrence | 0.7 | R+30.7 | 95 | R+22.1 | D+8.6 |
| Northumberland | 0.6 | R+39.7 | 95 | R+32.0 | D+7.7 |
| Crawford | 0.6 | R+38.4 | 93 | R+37.3 | D+1.1 |
| Indiana | 0.6 | R+38.7 | 95 | R+29.9 | D+8.8 |
| Somerset | 0.6 | R+57.5 | 95 | R+51.6 | D+5.8 |
| Clearfield | 0.6 | R+50.7 | 88 | R+56.5 | R+5.8 |
| Armstrong | 0.5 | R+53.5 | 95 | R+42.0 | D+11.5 |
| Carbon | 0.5 | R+33.2 | 99 | R+23.8 | D+9.4 |
| Pike | 0.5 | R+20.2 | 95 | R+20.4 | R+0.2 |
| Columbia | 0.5 | R+31.9 | 95 | R+26.0 | D+5.8 |
| Bradford | 0.4 | R+46.1 | 95 | R+41.7 | D+4.4 |
| Wayne | 0.4 | R+34.8 | 95 | R+30.7 | D+4.1 |
| Bedford | 0.4 | R+68.9 | 99 | R+65.2 | D+3.7 |
| Venango | 0.4 | R+42.6 | 95 | R+33.0 | D+9.6 |
| Perry | 0.4 | R+51.3 | 95 | R+42.6 | D+8.6 |
| Jefferson | 0.3 | R+60.0 | 95 | R+52.2 | D+7.8 |
| Huntingdon | 0.3 | R+52.2 | 95 | R+47.3 | D+4.8 |
| Susquehanna | 0.3 | R+42.4 | 95 | R+37.6 | D+4.9 |
| Mifflin | 0.3 | R+57.3 | 99 | R+51.3 | D+6.0 |
| Tioga | 0.3 | R+52.4 | 99 | R+49.1 | D+3.3 |
| Warren | 0.3 | R+40.8 | 56 | R+21.7 | D+19.0 |
| Union | 0.3 | R+25.5 | 95 | R+20.7 | D+4.7 |
| Clarion | 0.3 | R+52.0 | 99 | R+42.2 | D+9.8 |
| McKean | 0.3 | R+47.3 | 95 | R+42.0 | D+5.4 |
| Snyder | 0.3 | R+48.6 | 99 | R+43.4 | D+5.2 |
| Clinton | 0.3 | R+37.5 | 95 | R+29.9 | D+7.6 |
| Greene | 0.3 | R+44.6 | 80 | R+46.9 | R+2.3 |
| Elk | 0.2 | R+46.2 | 95 | R+38.5 | D+7.8 |
| Wyoming | 0.2 | R+36.4 | 95 | R+28.9 | D+7.5 |
| Juniata | 0.2 | R+62.6 | 95 | R+55.0 | D+7.6 |
| Montour | 0.1 | R+22.4 | 81 | R+31.2 | R+8.8 |
| Potter | 0.1 | R+62.0 | 95 | R+59.0 | D+3.0 |
| Fulton | 0.1 | R+73.1 | 95 | R+69.0 | D+4.1 |
| Sullivan | 0.1 | R+48.4 | 95 | R+40.0 | D+8.4 |
| Forest | 0.0 | R+44.8 | 99 | R+34.7 | D+10.0 |
| Cameron | 0.0 | R+47.9 | 99 | R+39.1 | D+8.7 |
Here’s what the balance of power looks like in the House right now. Republicans are closer to getting the majority of seats with 207 seats gained. But there are still 41 races left, and as we’ve said before, there have been three races so far where Republicans were favored and Democrats won. 
Taking a look at election deniers on the ballot, we’ve had a number of candidates that ABC News has projected to win tonight who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election or at least raised doubts about the results. That includes incumbents in red seats whom you might expect to win, like Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey and Idaho Gov. Brad Little. But there were also newcomers who won, such as Markwayne Mullin in the Senate race in Oklahoma, or Keith Self in Texas’s 3rd District. Here’s a look at where election deniers running for secretary of state and governor stand:
How election deniers are doing tonight
Gubernatorial and secretary of state candidates who have either denied or questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election and their results, as of 1:18 a.m. Eastern
| CANDIDATE | OFFICE | Position on 2020 election | % REPORTING | MARGIN | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Dunleavy | AK Gov. | ❓ Raised doubts | 0% | — | — |
| Kay Ivey | AL Gov. | 🚫 Denied legitimacy | 81 | +37.8 | ✓ Won |
| Wes Allen | AL SoS | ❓ Raised doubts | 77 | +35.0 | ✓ Won |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | AR Gov. | ❓ Raised doubts | 89 | +27.0 | ✓ Won |
| Kari Lake | AZ Gov. | 🚫 Denied legitimacy | 54 | -11.9 | — |
| Mark Finchem | AZ SoS | 🚫 Denied legitimacy | 53 | -16.5 | — |
| Dominic Rapini | CT SoS | ❓ Raised doubts | 64 | -8.3 | ✗ Lost |
| Brad Little | ID Gov. | 🚫 Denied legitimacy | 52 | +40.1 | ✓ Won |
| Darren Bailey | IL Gov. | ❓ Raised doubts | 80 | -10.2 | ✗ Lost |
| Derek Schmidt | KS Gov. | ❓ Raised doubts | 87 | -2.3 | — |
| Geoff Diehl | MA Gov. | 🚫 Denied legitimacy | 42 | -28.0 | ✗ Lost |
| Dan Cox | MD Gov. | 🚫 Denied legitimacy | 72 | -22.3 | ✗ Lost |
| Paul R. LePage | ME Gov. | ❓ Raised doubts | 72 | -16.2 | ✗ Lost |
| Kristina Karamo | MI SoS | 🚫 Denied legitimacy | 64 | -8.4 | ✗ Lost |
| Tudor M. Dixon | MI Gov. | 🚫 Denied legitimacy | 70 | -5.9 | — |
| Kim Crockett | MN SoS | 🚫 Denied legitimacy | 88 | -10.7 | ✗ Lost |
| Audrey Trujillo | NM SoS | 🚫 Denied legitimacy | 94 | -11.1 | ✗ Lost |
| Joe Lombardo | NV Gov. | ❓ Raised doubts | 44 | -9.4 | — |
| Jim Marchant | NV SoS | 🚫 Denied legitimacy | 44 | -12.4 | — |
| Douglas V. Mastriano | PA Gov. | 🚫 Denied legitimacy | 90 | -11.4 | ✗ Lost |
| Henry McMaster | SC Gov. | ❓ Raised doubts | 90 | +15.9 | ✓ Won |
| Kristi Noem | SD Gov. | ❓ Raised doubts | 84 | +29.7 | ✓ Won |
| Monae Johnson | SD SoS | ❓ Raised doubts | 81 | +32.5 | ✓ Won |
| Greg Abbott | TX Gov. | ❓ Raised doubts | 85 | +12.3 | ✓ Won |
| H. Brooke Paige | VT SoS | 🚫 Denied legitimacy | 72 | -27.4 | ✗ Lost |
| Tim Michels | WI Gov. | ❓ Raised doubts | 88 | -2.8 | — |