How Election Week 2022 Went Down

It looks so far like Cortez Masto is leading in Clark County, which includes Las Vegas and part of the metro area, where most of the state’s voters live. When I was there in early October, voters seemed familiar with their sitting Senator, and Democratic-affiliated groups were working to canvass voters and turn out the vote. The question is whether her margins there will be enough to make up the difference in other parts of the state, which favor Republicans. Her win in 2016 was incredibly narrow, 47 to 45 statewide. She became the first Latina to serve in the Senate, and filled Sen. Harry Reid’s shoes after his retirement; he had been a Democratic powerhouse in the state.

We’re still waiting on final results in Michigan, where the vote-counting has been proceeding at a leisurely pace. Gov. Gretchen Whitmer leads Republican Tudor Dixon, 52-46 percent, with 68 percent of the vote counted. And ABC projects that a ballot measure enshrining the right to an abortion has passed; it leads 55-45 percent. In the state’s 3rd District, just half of the vote has been counted, but Democrat Hillary Scholten leads Republican John Gibbs, 54-43 percent, in a top pickup opportunity for Democrats. In the 7th District, Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin trails her GOP challenger, Tom Barrett, 48-50 percent, with just over 80 percent of expected votes counted. And in the 8th District, Democratic Rep. Dan Kildee leads Republican Paul Junge, 49-46 percent, with just over half of the vote counted.

There’s a host of House races in New York we’re watching that remain uncalled. Here’s a quick roundup of where things stand.

In the three Long Island-based districts that are not currently projected by ABC News, the Republican candidates are all ahead:

• In the 1st District, Republican Nick LaLota is ahead of Bridget Fleming, 53 percent to 46 percent, with 69 percent of the expected vote in.
• Republican George Santos is ahead of Democrat Robert Zimmerman in the 3rd District, 54 percent to 46 percent, with 89 percent of the expected vote in.
• Republican Anthony D’Esposito is 4 percentage points ahead of Democrat Laura Gillen, with 93 percent of the expected vote, in the 4th District.

In the four upstate races we’re watching:

• DCCC head Sean Patrick Maloney trails his Republican challenger Sean Lawler by 6 percentage points, with 85 percent of the expected vote, in the 17th District.
• The 18th District has Rep. Pat Ryan and Republican Colin Schmitt tied at 50 percent with 97 percent of the expected vote in (Ryan has about 2,000 more votes, but it’s within a rounding error).
• In the 19th District, Republican Marc Molinaro is up, 51 percent to 49 percent, over Democrat Josh Riley, with 99 percent of the expected vote in.
• And finally, in the 22nd District, Democrat Francis Conole and Brandon Williams are within 300 votes of each other, with 87 percent of the expected vote in.

New York is another state that allows ballots postmarked by Election Day to be counted provided they arrive within a week, so particularly in the close races upstate, we might not have calls in the short term.