FiveThirtyEight
Monica Potts

Arkansas’s ballot measure to legalize marijuana for recreational use has failed, 56 percent to 44 percent.

Jacob Rubashkin

ABC News projects that Tom Malinowski, Democrat of New Jersey, has lost the Garden State’s 7th District to Republican Tom Kean, Jr. This is a GOP pickup.

Kaleigh Rogers

A short while ago, Kari Lake, the Republican candidate for governor in Arizona, spoke to supporters. Lake is currently behind Democratic candidate and Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs — with 52 percent of the expected votes reporting, Hobbs leads 57 percent to Lake’s 43 percent. Lake hinted at election fraud conspiracies similar to the ones she has spread about the 2020 election, telling supporters: “We had a big day today, and don’t let those cheaters and crooks think anything different. Don’t let them put doubt in you.” She went on to say she will “fight through the BS and the garbage” to win, referred to technical difficulties in Maricopa County, and called journalists in the room “fake media” and “propagandists.”

Lake also reminded supporters of the fact that early returns in the GOP primary had her opponent in the lead, but that she ultimately won the nomination. She has a point on that last mention — more of the votes we’ll be seeing coming in now will be Election Day ballots, which will lean red. But her comments suggest that if she’s not successful, she’ll lean on the baseless voter fraud theories she’s been spreading to claim the election was illegitimate.


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