FiveThirtyEight
Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Polls are now closed in New York, which has turned into an unexpected battleground for House Democrats. New York’s redistricting process was a mess, with courts throwing out the maps passed by the Legislature — the maps were heavily biased toward Democrats. The result, drawn by a court-appointed special master, was one of the most balanced and competitive maps in the country, according to the Brennan Center. And that paved the way for Republicans to make gains in the midterms. So keep an eye on this blue state — it has some important races for control of the House.

Nathaniel Rakich

At the same time in Georgia, Kemp has pulled ahead of Abrams 53 percent to 47 percent in the overall vote count, and you can see that Kemp is beating his benchmarks in most counties across the state. This is consistent with our preelection expectations that Kemp would win — and run ahead of Walker.

Georgia governor results vs. benchmarks

How the parties are performing in each county or county equivalent compared with benchmarks based on the vote margin in the 2020 presidential election, as of 9:05 p.m. Eastern

Vote margin is the difference between the Democrat’s vote share and the Republican’s vote share. Benchmark margins reflect the results that would produce a 50-50 tie, so performance relative to these benchmarks could signal which party is performing better on election night.

Source: ABC News

Meredith Conroy

Votes are reporting in Virginia’s 2nd District, where Democrat Elaine Luria is being challenged by Republican Jen Kiggans. This is one of several toss-up races that feature two women. Luria, a Navy veteran, was elected in 2018, a good year for Democrats, a good year for women and a good year for female veterans. This year, Republicans nominated Kiggans, who is a former Navy helicopter pilot, who could flip this seat back to red.


Exit mobile version