How Election Week 2022 Went Down
Votes are reporting in Virginia’s 2nd District, where Democrat Elaine Luria is being challenged by Republican Jen Kiggans. This is one of several toss-up races that feature two women. Luria, a Navy veteran, was elected in 2018, a good year for Democrats, a good year for women and a good year for female veterans. This year, Republicans nominated Kiggans, who is a former Navy helicopter pilot, who could flip this seat back to red.
With 52 percent of the expected vote reporting in Georgia, the Senate race has narrowed to Warnock 50 percent, Walker 48 percent. And the county-level benchmarks are sending mixed messages. Warnock is beating his benchmarks in some key counties, like Fulton and Gwinnett. But if you click “show more rows,” you can see that Walker is outperforming his benchmarks in several small, rural counties. Basically, this one still looks like it will be very close — possibly runoff territory.
Georgia Senate results vs. benchmarks
How the parties are performing in each county or county equivalent compared with benchmarks based on the vote margin in the 2020 presidential election, as of 9:04 p.m. Eastern
| Locality | Statewide vote share | Benchmark vote margin | Exp. vote | Vote Margin | Shift from Benchmark |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulton | 10.5% | D+46.1 | 66% | D+51.8 | D+5.7 |
| Gwinnett | 8.3 | D+18.0 | 42 | D+33.7 | D+15.7 |
| Cobb | 7.9 | D+14.1 | 58 | D+19.9 | D+5.8 |
| DeKalb | 7.4 | D+67.1 | 7 | D+76.5 | D+9.4 |
| Cherokee | 2.9 | R+39.5 | 76 | R+34.9 | D+4.6 |
| Chatham | 2.7 | D+18.5 | 49 | D+33.1 | D+14.6 |
| Forsyth | 2.6 | R+33.4 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Henry | 2.5 | D+20.2 | 73 | D+34.9 | D+14.7 |
| Clayton | 2.2 | D+70.6 | 71 | D+77.1 | D+6.4 |
| Hall | 1.8 | R+43.5 | 80 | R+43.1 | D+0.4 |
| Richmond | 1.7 | D+36.9 | 63 | D+48.0 | D+11.1 |
| Paulding | 1.7 | R+29.3 | 95 | R+23.9 | D+5.4 |
| Columbia | 1.6 | R+26.0 | 3 | R+41.2 | R+15.2 |
| Muscogee | 1.6 | D+23.8 | 59 | D+38.0 | D+14.3 |
| Coweta | 1.5 | R+35.8 | 55 | R+29.7 | D+6.0 |
| Houston | 1.5 | R+12.7 | 74 | R+7.9 | D+4.8 |
| Fayette | 1.4 | R+7.0 | 66 | D+3.3 | D+10.4 |
| Bibb | 1.4 | D+23.6 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Douglas | 1.4 | D+24.9 | 75 | D+33.5 | D+8.6 |
| Carroll | 1.1 | R+39.2 | 71 | R+33.6 | D+5.6 |
| Newton | 1.1 | D+10.7 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Clarke | 1.0 | D+41.8 | 57 | D+49.3 | D+7.5 |
| Walton | 1.0 | R+49.5 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Bartow | 1.0 | R+50.9 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Lowndes | 0.9 | R+12.3 | 93 | R+18.5 | R+6.2 |
| Rockdale | 0.9 | D+40.5 | 88 | D+48.0 | D+7.4 |
| Glynn | 0.8 | R+23.4 | 95 | R+26.9 | R+3.5 |
| Floyd | 0.8 | R+41.3 | 94 | R+39.7 | D+1.6 |
| Barrow | 0.8 | R+43.3 | 83 | R+37.7 | D+5.6 |
| Jackson | 0.8 | R+58.2 | 73 | R+53.9 | D+4.3 |
| Whitfield | 0.7 | R+40.9 | 83 | R+43.6 | R+2.7 |
| Dougherty | 0.7 | D+39.8 | 5 | D+56.0 | D+16.2 |
| Catoosa | 0.7 | R+56.1 | 65 | R+51.0 | D+5.1 |
| Effingham | 0.6 | R+49.8 | 75 | R+44.2 | D+5.6 |
| Spalding | 0.6 | R+21.0 | 12 | D+15.0 | D+36.0 |
| Bulloch | 0.6 | R+24.0 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Troup | 0.6 | R+22.1 | 69 | R+17.9 | D+4.2 |
| Walker | 0.6 | R+59.5 | 91 | R+57.8 | D+1.7 |
| Oconee | 0.5 | R+33.7 | 95 | R+34.5 | R+0.8 |
| Gordon | 0.5 | R+62.7 | 95 | R+62.2 | D+0.5 |
| Camden | 0.5 | R+31.0 | 78 | R+28.7 | D+2.3 |
| Laurens | 0.5 | R+28.5 | 76 | R+31.7 | R+3.3 |
| Thomas | 0.4 | R+19.7 | 95 | R+23.6 | R+3.8 |
| Liberty | 0.4 | D+23.8 | 95 | D+26.4 | D+2.6 |
| Bryan | 0.4 | R+35.4 | 74 | R+28.3 | D+7.1 |
| Habersham | 0.4 | R+64.2 | 95 | R+63.0 | D+1.2 |
| Harris | 0.4 | R+44.5 | 95 | R+47.2 | R+2.7 |
| Baldwin | 0.4 | D+1.1 | 92 | R+0.6 | R+1.7 |
| Polk | 0.3 | R+57.3 | 34 | R+52.9 | D+4.4 |
| Pickens | 0.3 | R+66.0 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Lee | 0.3 | R+44.8 | 95 | R+42.6 | D+2.2 |
| Gilmer | 0.3 | R+63.8 | 88 | R+61.9 | D+1.8 |
| Tift | 0.3 | R+33.8 | 91 | R+38.9 | R+5.1 |
| Colquitt | 0.3 | R+47.4 | 61 | R+48.5 | R+1.1 |
| Dawson | 0.3 | R+68.1 | 95 | R+64.4 | D+3.7 |
| Monroe | 0.3 | R+43.0 | 95 | R+43.4 | R+0.4 |
| Lumpkin | 0.3 | R+58.4 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Union | 0.3 | R+63.5 | 95 | R+60.4 | D+3.1 |
| Murray | 0.3 | R+69.4 | 72 | R+71.0 | R+1.6 |
| Coffee | 0.3 | R+40.1 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Jones | 0.3 | R+34.1 | 64 | R+35.2 | R+1.1 |
| Madison | 0.3 | R+53.2 | 59 | R+54.7 | R+1.5 |
| Fannin | 0.3 | R+64.9 | 58 | R+51.4 | D+13.5 |
| White | 0.3 | R+66.4 | 76 | R+61.5 | D+4.9 |
| Haralson | 0.3 | R+74.2 | 86 | R+71.4 | D+2.8 |
| Ware | 0.3 | R+40.7 | 68 | R+36.3 | D+4.3 |
| Upson | 0.3 | R+34.4 | 92 | R+34.9 | R+0.6 |
| Wayne | 0.3 | R+57.3 | 95 | R+58.3 | R+1.0 |
| Hart | 0.3 | R+49.8 | 85 | R+52.9 | R+3.1 |
| Peach | 0.3 | R+4.9 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Sumter | 0.2 | D+4.6 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Stephens | 0.2 | R+59.0 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Putnam | 0.2 | R+41.1 | 86 | R+36.5 | D+4.6 |
| Butts | 0.2 | R+43.8 | 75 | R+43.5 | D+0.3 |
| Morgan | 0.2 | R+41.9 | 60 | R+41.1 | D+0.8 |
| Decatur | 0.2 | R+17.2 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Greene | 0.2 | R+26.7 | 95 | R+30.9 | R+4.2 |
| Meriwether | 0.2 | R+20.8 | 53 | R+18.3 | D+2.5 |
| Toombs | 0.2 | R+45.5 | 92 | R+50.1 | R+4.7 |
| Franklin | 0.2 | R+69.7 | 48 | R+73.3 | R+3.6 |
| Burke | 0.2 | R+2.0 | 93 | R+6.9 | R+4.9 |
| Grady | 0.2 | R+32.1 | 86 | R+35.9 | R+3.8 |
| Pike | 0.2 | R+71.3 | 88 | R+69.6 | D+1.8 |
| McDuffie | 0.2 | R+19.4 | 91 | R+23.7 | R+4.3 |
| Chattooga | 0.2 | R+62.0 | 76 | R+54.4 | D+7.6 |
| Rabun | 0.2 | R+57.6 | 95 | R+53.3 | D+4.3 |
| Emanuel | 0.2 | R+38.8 | 87 | R+41.6 | R+2.8 |
| Washington | 0.2 | D+0.6 | 58 | D+1.0 | D+0.5 |
| Worth | 0.2 | R+48.0 | 42 | R+31.0 | D+17.0 |
| Elbert | 0.2 | R+36.7 | 59 | R+41.6 | R+4.9 |
| Lamar | 0.2 | R+41.3 | 87 | R+39.2 | D+2.0 |
| Pierce | 0.2 | R+75.4 | 95 | R+77.4 | R+2.0 |
| Mitchell | 0.2 | R+10.8 | 65 | R+6.9 | D+3.9 |
| Banks | 0.2 | R+78.2 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Appling | 0.2 | R+57.3 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Tattnall | 0.2 | R+49.0 | 59 | R+52.6 | R+3.6 |
| Oglethorpe | 0.2 | R+39.0 | 18 | R+29.7 | D+9.3 |
| Crisp | 0.2 | R+25.2 | 83 | R+28.0 | R+2.8 |
| Dodge | 0.2 | R+45.7 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Towns | 0.2 | R+60.8 | 99 | R+59.2 | D+1.6 |
| Berrien | 0.2 | R+66.7 | 92 | R+68.4 | R+1.6 |
| Brantley | 0.2 | R+81.5 | 95 | R+82.1 | R+0.6 |
| Jasper | 0.2 | R+53.3 | 84 | R+46.6 | D+6.7 |
| Jefferson | 0.2 | D+6.6 | 67 | D+10.2 | D+3.6 |
| Dade | 0.1 | R+64.8 | 84 | R+61.0 | D+3.8 |
| Brooks | 0.1 | R+20.9 | 93 | R+27.7 | R+6.8 |
| Cook | 0.1 | R+40.6 | 22 | R+31.6 | D+9.0 |
| McIntosh | 0.1 | R+21.2 | 58 | R+23.2 | R+2.0 |
| Screven | 0.1 | R+19.2 | 86 | R+25.7 | R+6.5 |
| Ben Hill | 0.1 | R+26.4 | 88 | R+28.9 | R+2.5 |
| Crawford | 0.1 | R+46.3 | 5 | D+13.1 | D+59.5 |
| Jeff Davis | 0.1 | R+63.7 | 90 | R+66.2 | R+2.5 |
| Bleckley | 0.1 | R+53.1 | 95 | R+55.0 | R+1.9 |
| Long | 0.1 | R+26.6 | 59 | R+17.0 | D+9.6 |
| Heard | 0.1 | R+68.7 | 83 | R+65.1 | D+3.6 |
| Early | 0.1 | R+5.3 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Wilkes | 0.1 | R+13.4 | 91 | R+17.5 | R+4.1 |
| Wilkinson | 0.1 | R+12.6 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Bacon | 0.1 | R+72.9 | 93 | R+74.0 | R+1.1 |
| Lincoln | 0.1 | R+37.8 | 95 | R+44.5 | R+6.8 |
| Macon | 0.1 | D+22.8 | 60 | D+10.4 | R+12.4 |
| Charlton | 0.1 | R+50.9 | 52 | R+41.6 | D+9.3 |
| Candler | 0.1 | R+42.3 | 95 | R+45.1 | R+2.8 |
| Twiggs | 0.1 | R+7.6 | 89 | R+8.2 | R+0.7 |
| Terrell | 0.1 | D+8.2 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Telfair | 0.1 | R+31.1 | 52 | R+37.0 | R+5.9 |
| Evans | 0.1 | R+37.1 | 93 | R+40.4 | R+3.4 |
| Hancock | 0.1 | D+43.6 | 71 | D+44.4 | D+0.7 |
| Irwin | 0.1 | R+51.2 | 50 | R+53.7 | R+2.4 |
| Dooly | 0.1 | R+6.3 | 83 | R+9.9 | R+3.6 |
| Johnson | 0.1 | R+39.9 | 93 | R+47.9 | R+8.0 |
| Pulaski | 0.1 | R+39.1 | 83 | R+42.4 | R+3.4 |
| Montgomery | 0.1 | R+50.1 | 88 | R+52.9 | R+2.8 |
| Seminole | 0.1 | R+35.1 | 90 | R+43.8 | R+8.7 |
| Taylor | 0.1 | R+27.1 | 86 | R+32.9 | R+5.8 |
| Turner | 0.1 | R+25.0 | 89 | R+24.5 | D+0.5 |
| Marion | 0.1 | R+26.8 | 93 | R+25.8 | D+1.0 |
| Lanier | 0.1 | R+41.9 | 94 | R+43.3 | R+1.4 |
| Talbot | 0.1 | D+20.3 | 46 | D+30.6 | D+10.4 |
| Jenkins | 0.1 | R+26.1 | 92 | R+33.0 | R+6.9 |
| Wilcox | 0.1 | R+47.2 | 89 | R+49.9 | R+2.6 |
| Atkinson | 0.1 | R+47.0 | 57 | R+54.0 | R+7.0 |
| Treutlen | 0.1 | R+37.6 | 90 | R+41.4 | R+3.8 |
| Randolph | 0.1 | D+8.9 | 88 | D+8.2 | R+0.7 |
| Clinch | 0.1 | R+47.8 | 90 | R+56.6 | R+8.8 |
| Miller | 0.1 | R+46.7 | 89 | R+51.6 | R+4.8 |
| Warren | 0.1 | D+11.2 | 91 | D+5.1 | R+6.1 |
| Schley | 0.0 | R+59.1 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Wheeler | 0.0 | R+39.4 | 90 | R+40.3 | R+0.9 |
| Calhoun | 0.0 | D+15.2 | 38 | D+3.4 | R+11.9 |
| Stewart | 0.0 | D+18.9 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Chattahoochee | 0.0 | R+13.7 | 88 | R+8.4 | D+5.3 |
| Baker | 0.0 | R+16.0 | 92 | R+15.1 | D+0.9 |
| Glascock | 0.0 | R+79.9 | 96 | R+81.7 | R+1.8 |
| Clay | 0.0 | D+10.5 | 91 | D+4.0 | R+6.5 |
| Echols | 0.0 | R+75.8 | 89 | R+79.0 | R+3.2 |
| Webster | 0.0 | R+8.0 | 0 | R+0.0 | — |
| Quitman | 0.0 | R+9.9 | 92 | R+14.7 | R+4.8 |
| Taliaferro | 0.0 | D+21.4 | 72 | D+13.4 | R+8.0 |
Really striking number in the preliminary exit poll results in Michigan (which are incomplete and can, of course, change) — almost half of voters in the state said that abortion was the most important issue driving their vote, way above the national number for this question. That’s especially worth underscoring because Michigan voters are deciding whether to enshrine abortion rights in their state constitution today.