FiveThirtyEight
Paroma Soni

Many competitive House seats are in suburban districts. We’re updating results in districts that are at least 50 percent suburban, according to FiveThirtyEight’s urbanization index:

How suburban House districts are voting

Results in districts that are at least 50 percent suburban, according to FiveThirtyEight’s urbanization index, as of 8:57 p.m. Eastern

district suburban leader margin exp. vote
TN-9 83.9% Steve Cohen 0%
NJ-4 78.9 Christopher H. Smith R+2.2 12
NC-2 78.8 Deborah K. Ross D+41.6 56
TX-16 78.8 Veronica Escobar 0
CA-8 78.8 John Garamendi 0
CA-10 78.7 Mark DeSaulnier 0
CA-27 77.0 Christy Smith 0
MO-5 76.5 Emanuel Cleaver, II D+22.6 4
GA-7 76.5 Lucy McBath D+27.6 46
MD-3 76.4 John Sarbanes 0
IN-7 76.2 André D. Carson D+30.3 40
KY-3 74.8 Morgan McGarvey D+34.2 52
IL-10 74.7 Brad Schneider D+20.3 52
MN-3 74.1 Dean Phillips 0
GA-6 73.9 Rich McCormick R+11.8 34
FL-13 73.5 Anna Paulina Luna R+8.6 93
VA-3 71.9 Robert C. “Bobby” Scott D+30.7 87
MI-6 69.9 Debbie Dingell D+34.0 14
CA-39 69.6 Mark Takano 0
TX-2 69.3 Robin Fulford 0
GA-11 67.5 Barry Loudermilk R+10.8 41
CA-49 67.0 Mike Levin 0
MI-11 66.8 Haley Stevens D+26.0 38
FL-16 66.0 Vern Buchanan R+24.9 89
GA-13 65.8 David Scott D+66.6 64
CA-50 65.0 Scott Peters 0
VA-10 64.3 Jennifer T. Wexton D+6.0 99
WA-10 64.3 Marilyn Strickland 0
FL-5 64.0 John Rutherford 0
NC-12 62.8 Alma S. Adams D+31.7 54
OH-13 62.4 Emilia Sykes D+30.6 30
CA-26 61.5 Julia Brownley 0
UT-3 61.0 Glenn J. Wright 0
FL-7 60.8 Cory Mills R+15.9 83
NE-2 60.7 Tony Vargas 0
FL-14 60.7 Kathy Castor D+13.1 81
IL-14 60.0 Lauren Underwood D+33.4 15
OK-1 60.0 Kevin Hern R+5.6 17
KS-3 59.5 Sharice Davids D+24.2 45
OH-8 59.2 Warren Davidson R+15.8 24
CT-4 58.9 Jim Himes D+20.3 1
AZ-5 58.8 Javier Ramos 0
MO-2 58.6 Ann Wagner R+16.7 1
PA-1 58.1 Ashley Ehasz 0
NJ-12 58.1 Bonnie Watson Coleman D+85.0 0
MN-2 57.3 Angie Craig 0
NY-17 57.2 Sean Patrick Maloney 0
OK-5 56.8 Stephanie Bice R+12.1 28
OH-10 56.6 Mike Turner R+1.3 28
NC-14 56.5 Jeff Jackson D+20.4 59
NM-1 56.3 Melanie Ann Stansbury 0
NJ-3 56.2 Andy Kim 0
NE-1 55.8 Patty Pansing Brooks 0
CA-48 55.7 Stephen Houlahan 0
TX-26 55.3 Michael C. Burgess R+37.0 73
FL-4 55.1 Aaron Bean R+21.5 83
MA-8 55.1 Stephen F. Lynch 0
UT-1 54.9 Rick Edwin Jones 0
WA-9 54.5 Adam Smith 0
TX-33 54.3 Marc Veasey D+50.1 50
VA-11 54.2 Gerald E. “Gerry” Connolly D+38.8 28
CT-5 53.8 George Logan R+8.0 2
IL-11 53.8 Bill Foster D+24.1 23
PA-7 53.6 Susan Wild D+58.6 8
IL-8 53.6 Raja Krishnamoorthi D+22.8 12
NY-20 53.6 Paul D. Tonko 0
FL-9 53.5 Darren Soto D+6.1 69
NY-3 53.2 Robert P. Zimmerman 0
CT-1 53.2 John B. Larson D+44.4 1
CO-5 52.7 David Torres 0
CT-3 52.5 Rosa L. DeLauro 0
FL-15 52.4 Laurel Lee R+17.6 82
MA-3 52.4 Lori Loureiro Trahan 0
TX-15 51.9 Monica De La Cruz R+48.2 14
IL-17 51.9 Eric Sorensen 0
FL-22 51.6 Lois Frankel D+10.0 85
FL-19 51.5 Byron Donalds R+28.6 53
PA-10 51.3 Shamaine Daniels D+51.1 21
TX-30 51.2 Jasmine Crockett D+56.5 57
NC-6 50.8 Kathy Manning D+14.6 62
CO-2 50.7 Joe Neguse 0
OH-15 50.4 Mike Carey R+3.1 33
HI-1 50.3 Ed Case 0

FiveThirtyEight categorizes a census tract as “suburban” if between 100,000 and 250,000 people live within a five-mile radius. We then calculate what proportion of each district’s population lives in a suburban area to determine how suburban the district is.

Source: ABC News, U.S. Census Bureau

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