FiveThirtyEight
Kaleigh Rogers

ABC News has projected a number of races for Republicans in Oklahoma. Republican Rep. Markwayne Mullin is projected to win the open Senate seat in the Sooner State to serve out the final four years of Sen. Jim Inhofe’s term. Sen. James Lankford is projected to win reelection for his seat. Likewise, incumbent Rep. Frank Lucas is projected to win his seat in Oklahoma’s 3rd District, as is former state senator Josh Brecheen in the 2nd District. The race for governor is still tight, though. Right now, Democrat Joy Hofmeister is leading Republican incumbent Gov. Kevin Stitt, 50 percent to 48 percent, but it’s still early.

Maggie Koerth

Kansas’s 3rd District race has 45 percent of the vote reporting now, and incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids is winning handily, with 61 percent of the vote.

Geoffrey Skelley

In Pennsylvania, it’s very early. Fetterman leads Oz by an astonishing 81 percent to 17 percent margin, but that’s a function of having only 8 percent of the expected vote reporting, and almost all of that vote being mail and early votes, which lean heavily Democratic. This early Democratic edge is interesting, though, because Pennsylvania counties could start processing mail ballots received ahead of Election Day only today, unlike some other states where they allow processing to begin earlier. Because of that, there’s been an expectation that Republicans would lead early in Pennsylvania, and then Democrats would cut the margins as counties reported ballots cast early and by mail. That could still happen, but it may be more of a roller-coaster of surges by each party as different sets of ballots are reported, with early and mail votes leaning Democrats and Election Day votes leaning Republican.


Exit mobile version