How Election Week 2022 Went Down

As we’ve said time and time again, Latino voters are not a monolith. And the preliminary results in Florida may be the clearest example of this (of course, these results will continue to update throughout the evening). To be clear, the gubernatorial race has already been projected for Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis, and you can see how Latino counties didn’t break Democrats’ way. Miami-Dade county is nearly 70 percent Hispanic or Latino, according to census records, and DeSantis leads there by 10 points. This, of course, stands in stark contrast to what happened in DeSantis’s previous race, in 2018, when Latinos went for Andrew Gillum, DeSantis’s Democratic challenger at the time, by 10 points: 54 percent to 44 percent.

The votes are continuing to come in very slowly in Kentucky and the anti-abortion ballot amendment is getting closer: Right now, with 19 percent of the expected vote reporting, we’re seeing 54 percent on the “no” side (the abortion-rights side) and 46 percent on the “yes” side (the anti-abortion side). More competitive than it was a while ago, but still a healthy lead for the abortion-rights side.

You’ve probably noticed cable-news networks and others citing election “results” from exit polls — for example, “voters over age 60 are supporting Walker X percent to Y percent” or somesuch. We recommend taking these numbers with a big grain of salt. At this point, exit polls are just regular old polls, subject to the same errors that preelection polls are. They don’t gain any special powers until after the election, when they are reweighted to match the final election results. That means the numbers you’re seeing right now will almost certainly change.