FiveThirtyEight
Fivey Fox

ABC News projects a Republican win in FL-27.

Nathaniel Rakich

We’re up to 10 percent reporting in New Hampshire, and Hassan leads Bolduc 61 percent to 38 percent. Hassan is outperforming Biden’s margins in municipalities like Concord and Manchester by a few percentage points, so she’s doing what she needs to do thus far. (Biden won New Hampshire comfortably, by 7 points.)

Nate Silver

Though the New York Times Needle is live, please promise us that you’ll come back to FiveThirtyEight after you check it. It shows the Senate as a tossup — although if I’m squinting at it correctly, Democrats are ever-so-slight favorites — while Republicans have a 76 percent chance of winning the House.


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