How Election Week 2022 Went Down

Democratic chances in the Senate are now up to 38 percent in prediction markets, which is actually higher than it was 24 hours ago. Traders see good news for Democrats so far in Georgia, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania based on very early returns, though Democratic chances have declined in Nevada on reports of low Election Day turnout for Democrats.

Philadelphia was another Pennsylvania county that dropped much of its mail vote right at 8 p.m. — and, as expected, it leaned heavily toward Fetterman, with Oz picking up 6 percent to Fetterman’s 92 percent. Philadelphia leans Democrat but not quite by that much.

It’s early, obviously, but Republicans have flipped two of the five seats they need in order to take control of the House. (Of course, Democrats can flip other seats right back, negating these gains.) Both of these GOP wins can be chalked up to gerrymandering, as Republicans redrew these districts to favor the GOP.