FiveThirtyEight
Kaleigh Rogers

And at last, we have some results from Indiana’s 1st District race! With 21 percent of the expected vote reporting, Democrat incumbent Rep. Frank Mrvan is up with 60 percent to Jennifer-Ruth Green’s 40 percent. This looks pretty tight for Mrvan, with an estimated 30 percent of total votes early or absentee, which should favor the incumbent congressman.

Nathaniel Rakich

Here’s a scatterplot comparing Warnock’s current performance in Georgia’s Senate race to county-level benchmarks we calculated that would point to a perfectly tied race. As you can see, the bubbles are congregating very close to the black line — which means the race is very, very close.

Maggie Koerth

One of the issues affecting the gubernatorial and attorney-general races in Kansas is the future of the state’s Supreme Court appointment process. Since 1956 (when a former governor got himself appointed to court via cronyism), the state has functioned under a system where a commission makes recommendations for justices and the governor picks one from that list to appoint. But Republicans, including the ones running for governor and attorney general, want to change that to give the state senate veto power — more like the way Federal Supreme Court appointments are done. Former governor Sam Brownback did just that with the appeals court during his term, and it’s led to a lot more partisan conflicts in the state government, writes Tim Carpenter at the Kansas Reflector. But with Democrats having appointed seven justices to the Republicans’ one in recent years, it’s no surprise that changing the court is an issue Republicans would like to take on.


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