How Election Week 2022 Went Down
Polls are closing in Delaware. There isn’t much to watch in the state, but the incumbent at-large representative, Democrat Lisa Blunt Rochester, is a favorite to win against her Republican challenger, Lee Murphy. Murphy is a former teacher, Amtrak conductor and actor who is running for the seat for the third time.
Though the polls have closed here in Pennsylvania, we shouldn’t expect to know the result quickly. In part, that’s because of a last-minute decision here in Philadelphia to reinstate a time-consuming process for catching double votes. The city’s Republican election commissioner did not mince words, stating: “I want to be very clear that when there are conversations that occur later this evening about whether or not Philadelphia has counted all of their ballots that the reason that some ballots would not be counted is that Republicans targeted Philadelphia — and only Philadelphia — to force us to conduct a procedure that no other county does,” Seth Bluestein, the sole Republican commissioner, said before voting for reconciliation.”
In Texas 🤠, where polls just closed, I’ll be keeping an eye on quite a few races — notably three South Texas congressional races and the gubernatorial contest between Republican Gov. Greg Abbott and Democrat Beto O’Rourke.
The governor’s race should be an easy get for Abbott, despite O’Rourke’s record-breaking fundraising hauls. But the three House races along the Texas-Mexico border I’ll be monitoring — the 15th, 28th and 34th districts — should be a bit more interesting to watch considering Republicans have a good chance of flipping one or two of these seats (read our write-up on these districts here). In fact, according to our forecast, which is now frozen, both the 15th and 34th districts are ranked as toss-ups. The 28th District, meanwhile, which is currently represented by Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar, falls more squarely in his column.
If Republicans win — or come close — to winning any of these races, though, I think this region will become much more competitive in future election cycles. The 15th, for its part, was redrawn during the redistricting process to make it more favorable for the GOP, while the other two seats have drawn formidable GOP opponents that could make it hard for Democrats to bring the voters that they lost in 2020 back into their camp.