How Election Week 2022 Went Down

Republicans are doing really well in Florida. Notably, Rubio is leading in Miami-Dade County and Pinellas County (St. Petersburg), and DeSantis is leading in those two plus Hillsborough County (Tampa). And Election Day votes (which skew Republican) haven’t even reported yet!

One thing I’m watching tonight is how much the results differ between Georgia’s races for Senate and governor. You’d expect them to look pretty similar due to the state’s racially polarized electorate, which makes the state quite “inelastic” from year to year, with white voters mostly voting Republican and Black voters mostly Democratic. This makes for few swing voters and few split-ticket voters, too. But with how close the Senate race looks and how likely Kemp looks to win in the governor’s race, every Kemp-Warnock voter could be of critical importance. And so far, there is a bit of a split between the two contests, with Warnock leading by 22 points in the Senate race and Abrams up by 14 in the governor’s race. Notably, this is also in line with the 7-point split the polls had coming into Election Day, with Warnock down 1 point and Abrams down 8 points.

Along with the extended polling hours in Texas and Pennsylvania, the RNC is joining with the Masters and Lake campaigns and some other conservative groups to file an emergency motion to extend poll hours in Maricopa County after tabulator issues slowed things down a bit. It remains to be seen whether that motion will be granted.