How Election Week 2022 Went Down

First projections are in from states with 7 p.m. poll closings. With Senate races in South Carolina and Indiana now projected for Republicans, the current balance of power sits at 36 Democratic seats and 31 Republican seats. We’ll be updating the totals in this chart throughout the night.

With nearly three-quarters of the vote counted — we’re blazing here — in Florida’s 13th District Democratic nominee Eric Lynn and GOP nominee Anna Paulina Luna are all tied up at about 50 percent. This is the rare competitive House race in the Sunshine State, and Lynn has the support of a super PAC seeded by $10 million from a single donor. Outgoing Rep. Charlie Crist, a Democrat, is trailing DeSantis 52 percent to 47 percent.

Prediction markets have generally been more bullish on GOP chances than FiveThirtyEight and other forecast models, and their trajectory today has been interesting. They were shifting strongly to the GOP over the course of the afternoon on reports of low Democratic turnout, but Republicans have given some of their gains back in the past hour or so once actual votes have started to trickle in.